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Probabilistic analysis for maximizing the grid integration of wind power generation

  • INESC TEC- Institute for Systems and Computer Engineering, Technology and Science
  • University of Porto
  • Universidade Federal de Itajubá

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

29 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper presents a sequential Monte Carlo simulation algorithm that can simultaneously assess composite system adequacy and detect wind power curtailment events. A simple procedure at the end of the state evaluation stage is proposed to categorize wind power curtailment events according to their cause. Furthermore, the dual variables of the DC optimal power flow procedure are used to identify which transmission circuits are restricting the use of the total wind power available. In the first set of experiments, the composite system adequacy is assessed, incorporating different generation technologies. This is conducted to clarify the usual comparisons made between wind and thermal technologies which, in fact, depend on the performance measure selected. A second set of experiments considering several wind penetration scenarios is also performed to determine the operational rules or system components responsible for the largest amount of wind energy curtailed. The experiments are carried out on configurations of the IEEE-RTS 79 power system.

Original languageEnglish
Article number6269097
Pages (from-to)2323-2331
Number of pages9
JournalIEEE Transactions on Power Systems
Volume27
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2012
Externally publishedYes

Funding

Manuscript received December 30, 2011; revised April 10, 2012 and June 06, 2012; accepted June 29, 2012. Date of publication August 15, 2012; date of current version October 17, 2012. This work was supported in part by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology under the grant SFRH/BD/ 43004/2008. Paper no. TPWRS-01252-2011.

FundersFunder number
FCT - Fundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaTPWRS-01252-2011, SFRH/BD/ 43004/2008

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Keywords

  • Chronological Monte Carlo simulation
  • composite system
  • intermittent energy sources
  • reliability assessment

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