Abstract
Predictive maintenance is fundamental for modern industries, in order to improve the physical assets availability, decision making and rationalize costs. That requires deployment of sensor networks, data storage and development of data treatment methods that can satisfy the quality required in the forecasting models. The present paper describes a case study where data collected in an industrial pulp paper press was pre-processed and used to predict future behavior, aiming to anticipate potential failures, optimize predictive maintenance and physical assets availability. The data were processed and analyzed, outliers identified and treated. Time series models were used to predict short-term future behavior. The results show that it is possible to predict future values up to ten days in advance with good accuracy.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Proceedings of IncoME-VI and TEPEN 2021 - Performance Engineering and Maintenance Engineering |
Editors | Hao Zhang, Guojin Feng, Hongjun Wang, Fengshou Gu, Jyoti K. Sinha |
Publisher | Springer Science and Business Media B.V. |
Pages | 11-25 |
Number of pages | 15 |
ISBN (Print) | 9783030990749 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2023 |
Event | 6th International Conference on Maintenance Engineering, IncoME-VI and the Conference of the Efficiency and Performance Engineering Network, TEPEN 2021 - Tianjin, China Duration: 20 Oct 2021 → 23 Oct 2021 |
Publication series
Name | Mechanisms and Machine Science |
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Volume | 117 |
ISSN (Print) | 2211-0984 |
ISSN (Electronic) | 2211-0992 |
Conference
Conference | 6th International Conference on Maintenance Engineering, IncoME-VI and the Conference of the Efficiency and Performance Engineering Network, TEPEN 2021 |
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Country/Territory | China |
City | Tianjin |
Period | 20/10/21 → 23/10/21 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
Funding
Acknowledgements The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowvska-Curie grant agreement 871284 project SSHARE and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) through the Operational Programme for Competitiveness and Internationalization (COMPETE 2020), under Project POCI-01-0145-FEDER-029494, and by National Funds through the FCT— Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology, under Projects PTDC/EEI-EEE/29494/2017, UIDB/04131/2020, and UIDP/04131/2020.
Funders | Funder number |
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Horizon 2020 Framework Programme | 871284 |
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia | UIDB/04131/2020, PTDC/EEI-EEE/29494/2017, UIDP/04131/2020 |
European Regional Development Fund | POCI-01-0145-FEDER-029494 |
Keywords
- ARIMA
- Autoregressive models
- Data analysis
- Deep Learning
- Predictive maintenance
- Time series forecasting